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AI IntelligenceOct 6, 2026AI Intelligence
Article

Microsoft published a bearish AI economic forecast from Nobel economist Daron Acemoglu…

…predicting only 1.5% GDP growth over a decade and at most 5% of jobs replaced. Acemoglu argues that larger models won't significantly change this outlook, and that practical applications are what's missing.

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Microsoft published a bearish AI economic forecast from Nobel economist Daron Acemoglu, predicting only 1.5% GDP growth over a decade and at most 5% of jobs replaced. Acemoglu argues that larger models won't significantly change this outlook, and that practical applications are what's missing.